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Odds Of Poker

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Two players are dealt suited cards and both flop a flush (heads-up). Two players are dealt suited cards and both flop a flush (full-ring). Flush over flush over flush. Die Pot Odds sind von Pokerspielern verwendete Berechnungen, die angeben, ob das Zahlen von Einsätzen statistisch rentabel ist. Sie werden zumeist in Prozent oder Verhältnissen angegeben und sind Bestandteil einer Pokerstrategie. Poker Odds – Anfänger Artikel um etwas über Odds zu lernen. Kleine Einführung in andere Poker Theorie, wie Implied Odds.

Odds Of Poker

Implied Pot Odds Poker Ein elementares Konzept für einen Pokerspieler ist die Mathematik. Nur wer sich mit Themen wie Wahrscheinlichkeit beschäftigt und. Die Pot Odds sind von Pokerspielern verwendete Berechnungen, die angeben, ob das Zahlen von Einsätzen statistisch rentabel ist. Sie werden zumeist in Prozent oder Verhältnissen angegeben und sind Bestandteil einer Pokerstrategie. Two players are dealt suited cards and both flop a flush (full-ring).

Click on a card on the table to return it to the deck. Odds are calculated as soon as enough cards are in play. The position to receive the next card is highighted in red.

Click on any card to highlight it. Poker Tools. Help Win : Tie :. Win : Tie :. Dead Cards. X Click on a card in the deck to deal it.

Get Started. For example: To calculate your hand odds in a Texas Hold'em game when you hold two hearts and there are two hearts on the flop, your hand odds for making a flush are about 2 to 1.

This means that for approximately every 3 times you play this hand, you can expect to hit your flush one of those times.

If your hand odds were 3 to 1, then you would expect to hit your hand 1 out of every 4 times. Your Texas Hold'em poker odds are given below for hitting a draw by the river with a given number of outs after the flop and turn, and examples of draws with specified numbers of poker outs given.

For mathematical reasons, only use combined odds two card odds when you are in a possible all-in situation. Backdoor: A straight or flush draw where you need two cards to help your hand out.

You have [A K]. Flop shows [T 2 5]. You need both a [J] and [Q] for a straight. Overcard Draw: When you have a card above the flop. You have [A 3]. Flop shows [K 5 2].

You need a [A] overcard to make top pair. Inside Straight Draw aka 'Gutshot' : When you have one way to complete a straight. You have [J T].

Flop shows [A K 5]. You need a [Q] to complete your straight. Open Straight Draw: When you have two ways to complete a straight.

You have [5 6]. Flop shows [7 8 A]. You need a [4] or [9] to complete your straight. Flush Draw: Having two cards to a suit with two suits already on the flop.

You need any heart to make a flush. To calculate your hand odds, you first need to know how many outs your hand has.

An out is defined as a card in the deck that helps you make your hand. This means you have 9 outs to complete your flush - but not necessarily the best hand!

Usually you want your outs to count toward a nut best hand draw, but this is not always possible. The quick amongst you might be wondering "But what if someone else is holding a spade, doesn't that decrease my number of outs?

The answer is yes and no! If you know for sure that someone else is holding a spade, then you will have to count that against your total number of outs.

However, in most situations you do not know what your opponents hold, so you can only calculate odds with the knowledge that is available to you.

That knowledge is your pocket cards and the cards on the table. So, in essence, you are doing the calculations as if you were the only person at the table - in that case, there are 9 spades left in the deck.

When calculating outs, it's also important not to overcount your odds. An example would be a flush draw in addition to an open straight draw.

In addition to this, sometimes an out for you isn't really a true out. Let's say that you are chasing an open ended straight draw with two of one suit on the table.

In this situation, you would normally have 8 total outs to hit your straight, but 2 of those outs will result in three to a suit on the table.

This makes a possible flush for your opponents. As a result, you really only have 6 outs for a nut straight draw. Another more complex situation follows:.

Once you know how to correctly count the number of outs you have for a hand, you can use that to calculate what percentage of the time you will hit your hand by the river.

Probability can be calculated easily for a single event, like the flipping of the River card from the Turn. This would simply be: for two cards however, like from the Flop to the River, it's a bit more tricky.

This can be calculated as shown below:. Even though there might not technically be 47 cards remaining, we do calculations assuming we are the only players in the game.

To illustrate, here is a two-overcard draw, which has 3 outs for each overcard, giving a total of 6 outs for a top-pair draw:. However, most of the time we want to see this in hand odds, which will be explained after you read about pot odds.

To change a percentage to odds, the formula is:. Now that you've learned the proper way of calculating hand odds in Texas Hold'em, there is a shortcut that makes it much easier to calculate odds:.

After you find the number of outs you have, multiply by 4 and you will get a close estimate to the percentage of hitting that hand from the Flop.

Multiply by 2 instead to get a percentage estimate from the Turn. You can see these figures for yourself below:. As you can see, this is a much easier method of finding your percentage odds.

But what about ratio odds? This is still done using this formula:. We minus 1 from that and get a rough estimate of our odds at about Let's try this all the way through with an example:.

Again, odds means that can expect to make your draw 1 out of every 5 times. If the 1 out of 5 doesn't make a ton of sense to you, think about the odds of flipping heads or tails on a coin.

Now that you know how to calculate poker odds in terms of hand odds, you're probably wondering "what am I going to need it for?

Pot odds are simply the ratio of the amount of money in the pot to how much money it costs to call. The higher the ratio, the better your pot odds are.

Pot odds ratios are a very useful tool to see how often you need to win the hand to break even. The usefulness of hand odds and pot odds becomes very apparent when you start comparing the two.

As we now know, in a flush draw, your hand odds for making your flush are 1. Do you call? Your answer should be: "What are my pot odds?

This means that, in order to break even, you must win 1 out of every 5 times. However, with your flush draw, your odds of winning are 1 out of every 3 times!

You should quickly realize that not only are you breaking even, but you're making a nice profit on this in the long run.

Let's calculate the profit margin on this by theoretically playing this hand times from the flop, which is then checked to the river.

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Choosing the right seat. Raise or call. Multiply by 2 instead to get a percentage estimate from the Turn.

You can see these figures for yourself below:. As you can see, this is a much easier method of finding your percentage odds.

But what about ratio odds? This is still done using this formula:. We minus 1 from that and get a rough estimate of our odds at about Let's try this all the way through with an example:.

Again, odds means that can expect to make your draw 1 out of every 5 times. If the 1 out of 5 doesn't make a ton of sense to you, think about the odds of flipping heads or tails on a coin.

Now that you know how to calculate poker odds in terms of hand odds, you're probably wondering "what am I going to need it for? Pot odds are simply the ratio of the amount of money in the pot to how much money it costs to call.

The higher the ratio, the better your pot odds are. Pot odds ratios are a very useful tool to see how often you need to win the hand to break even.

The usefulness of hand odds and pot odds becomes very apparent when you start comparing the two. As we now know, in a flush draw, your hand odds for making your flush are 1.

Do you call? Your answer should be: "What are my pot odds? This means that, in order to break even, you must win 1 out of every 5 times. However, with your flush draw, your odds of winning are 1 out of every 3 times!

You should quickly realize that not only are you breaking even, but you're making a nice profit on this in the long run. Let's calculate the profit margin on this by theoretically playing this hand times from the flop, which is then checked to the river.

As you can see, you have a great reason to play this flush draw, because you'll be making moneyin the long run according to your hand odds and pot odds.

The most fundamental point to take from this is:. If your Pot Odds are greater than your poker hand odds, then you are making a profit in the long run.

Even though you may be faced with a gut shot straight draw at times - which is a terrible draw at 5 to 1 hand odds - it can be worth it to call if you are getting pot odds greater than 5 to 1.

Other times, if you have an excellent draw such as the flush draw, but someone has just raised a large amount so that your pot odds are , then you obviously should not continue trying to draw to a flush, as you will lose money in the long run.

In this situation, a fold or semi-bluff is your only solution, unless you know there will be callers behind you that improve your pot odds to better than break-even.

Your ability to memorize or calculate your hand odds as well as calculate pot odds will lead you to make many of the right decisions in the future - just be sure to remember that fundamental principle of profitably playing drawing hands requires that your pot odds are greater than your hand odds.

An important note I have to make is that many players who understand Hold'em odds tend to forget is that much of the theoretical odds calculations from the flop to the river assume there is no betting on the turn.

So while it's true that for a flush draw, the odds are 1. Unfortunately, most of the time, this will not be the case, so you should not calculate pot odds from the flop to the river and instead calculate them one card at a time.

To calculate your odds one card at a time, simply use the same odds that you have going from the turn to the river.

So for example, your odds of hitting a flush from the turn to river is 4 to 1, which means your odds of hitting a flush from the flop to the turn is 4 to 1 as well.

To help illustrate even further, we will use the flush calculation example that shows an often-used but incorrect way of thinking.

As you can see from these example calculations, calling a flush draw with 2 to 1 pot odds on the flop can lead to a long term loss, if there is additional betting past the flop.

Most of the time, however, there is a concept called Implied Value which we'll get to next that is able to help flush draws and open-ended straight draws still remain profitable even with seemingly 'bad' odds.

The draws that you want to worry about the most are your long shot draws: overcards, gut shots and two-outers hoping to make a set with your pocket pair.

If you draw these hands using incorrect odds such as flop to river odds , you will be severely punished in the long run. Implied Value is a pretty cool concept that takes into account future betting.

Like the above section, where you have to worry about your opponent betting on the turn, implied value is most often used to anticipate your opponent calling on the river.

So for example, let's say that you have yet another flush draw and are being offered a 3 to 1 pot odds on the turn. Knowing that you need 4 to 1 pot odds to make this a profitable call, you decide to fold.

Aha, but wait! Here is where implied value comes into play. So, even though you're getting 3 to 1 pot odds on the turn, you can likely anticipate your opponent calling you on the river if you do hit your flush draw.

This means that even though you're only getting 3 to 1 pot odds, since you anticipate your opponent calling a bet on the river, you are anticipating 4 to 1 pot odds - so you are able to make this call on the turn.

So in the most practical standpoint, implied value usually means that you can subtract one bet from your drawing odds on the turn, as it anticipates your opponents calling at least one bet.

In some more advanced areas, you can use implied odds as a means of making some draws that might not be profitable a majority of the time, but stand to make big payouts when they do hit.

Some examples of this would be having a tight image and drawing to a gut shot against another tight player.

Even though this is a horribly bad play and hopefully you don't have to pay much for it , it can possibly be a positive play if you know your opponent will pay you off if you hit your draw - because he won't believe you played a gut shot draw.

For many reasons, I do not recommend fancy implied odds plays like these, but mentioned it more so that you can recognize some players who pull these 'tricky' plays on you as well.

Knowing how to figure out your odds in Texas Hold'em is one of the most fundamental points in becoming a solid poker player.

If this poker odds page was a bit difficult to understand, don't worry. Keep playing, bookmark this page and come back when you need another brush-up on how to properly apply odds.

It takes a while to learn how to calculate them properly and to memorize them as well. Practice makes perfect, so be sure to check out our Party Poker Bonus Codes to get an extrabonus when you are first starting out.

You can also view our full Party Poker Review. As a little 'poker cheat', you can also download poker backgrounds that can help assist you, should you often forget your odds and outs.

Good luck at the poker tables! Visit our partners for online poker strategy tips and poker strategy for playing internet poker.

Party Poker Strategy Guide :: info tightpoker. Please check your local laws or consult with legal counsel before attempting to play poker online.

Tight Poker. Why are Odds Important in Poker Why are poker odds so important anyhow? To illustrate: Let's say you and a friend are flipping a quarter and he gives you odds that the next flip will land on heads.

This is summed up in this short principle: In poker, there are two types of players. A Nine or Ace gives you a straight 8 outs , while any diamond gives you the flush 9 outs.

To make a straight, you need a [Q] or [7] to drop, giving you 4 outs each or a total of 8 outs. This means that anyone holding a [K] will have made a King-high straight, while you hold the second-best Queen-high straight.

So, the only card that can really help you is the [7], which gives you 4 outs, or the equivalent of a gut-shot draw. While it's true that someone might not be holding the [K] especially in a short or heads-up game , in a big game, it's a very scary position to be in.

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Comments

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